Complicated-Espalier
0xb1d26b46f11905d030a0ab65676b1421035a92f5
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-65.41
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the CDU/CSU win 35-40% of the vote in the German election?
234 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
109 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 29?
41 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2026$0.00
$-14.00
- YES
FDP wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
27 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the CDU/CSU win by 10-12%?
27 shares @ 16.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-4.41
- YES
RB Leipzig vs. SC Freiburg: Both Teams to Score
17 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 29?$14.00Jan 28, 23:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 16?$4.29Jan 14, 16:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 16?$5.00Jan 14, 16:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYRB Leipzig vs. SC Freiburg: Both Teams to Score$10.00Jan 14, 16:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-01-13?$15.68Jan 13, 21:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-01-13?$11.00Jan 13, 18:51 UTC
- TRADESELLVfB Stuttgart vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: Both Teams to Score$15.60Jan 13, 18:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYVfB Stuttgart vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: Both Teams to Score$10.00Jan 13, 17:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$25.00Jan 13, 17:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the CDU/CSU win by 10-12%?$4.41Feb 22, 21:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the CDU/CSU win 35-40% of the vote in the German election?$2.00Feb 22, 21:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYFDP wins 5% or more of vote in German election? $10.00Feb 22, 21:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 12
- Avg trade size
- $10.58
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 22, 21:45 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 28, 23:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".