Safe-Vagrant
0xb1d93301fe03f273d9c49eb69486afc60e75059f
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$8.13
Total PnL
$-16.5K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
71 shares @ 13.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$8.13
$-1.10
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET
8094 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-4.0K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET
4450 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-2.2K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET
4210 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-2.1K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET
4120 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-2.1K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET
4100 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-2.0K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET
3980 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-2.0K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET
3900 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.9K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 17, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET
60 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 17, 2025$0.00
$-30.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 17, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET
58 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 17, 2025$0.00
$-28.95
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$9.23Mar 26, 01:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Liberal Democratic Party win the most seats in the 2026 Japanese general election?$9.00Mar 26, 01:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Liberal Democratic Party win the most seats in the 2026 Japanese general election?$8.93Feb 2, 03:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$1.09Feb 2, 03:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?$2.04Feb 2, 03:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$1.00Jan 6, 01:25 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$1.08Jan 6, 01:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?$3.08Jan 6, 01:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?$2.00Dec 15, 04:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$1.00Dec 8, 02:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?$2.00Dec 1, 04:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?$1.00Nov 24, 06:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - November 17, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET$28.95Nov 17, 08:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 17, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET$9.80Nov 17, 08:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 17, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET$20.20Nov 17, 08:37 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET$199.94Nov 10, 07:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET$99.97Nov 10, 07:19 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET$0.00Nov 4, 08:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET$2.7KNov 4, 08:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET$1.3KNov 4, 08:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $908.84
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 17, 02:48 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 26, 01:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".