Forsaken-Fold-Subcomponent
0xb1dbb5a19a62ec22230ce800e6d4f13f6c6e62af
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
151
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-957.64
Realised
$-37.06
Win rate
0%
135 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 151- YES
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C on June 20?
103 shares @ 39.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$0.00
$-40.92
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on July 22?
100 shares @ 62.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$0.00
$-62.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on July 4?
100 shares @ 38.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-38.72
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 35°C on June 26?
100 shares @ 48.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-48.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C on June 21?
100 shares @ 26.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-26.77
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on July 3?
100 shares @ 35.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-35.63
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on July 2?
100 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-38.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on July 14?
100 shares @ 33.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.00
$-33.72
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on July 5?
100 shares @ 25.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$0.00
$-25.62
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C on June 23?
100 shares @ 23.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-23.57
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on July 28?$1.82Jul 28, 14:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on July 27?$16.67Jul 27, 12:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on July 27?$14.87Jul 27, 12:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on July 27?$2.90Jul 27, 12:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on July 28?$0.10Jul 27, 04:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on July 28?$54.91Jul 27, 04:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on July 28?$13.14Jul 27, 04:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on July 26?$100.00Jul 26, 22:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on July 27?$73.99Jul 26, 04:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on July 26?$78.86Jul 25, 05:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on July 24?$100.00Jul 24, 22:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on July 24?$73.99Jul 23, 04:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on July 23?$70.07Jul 22, 04:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on July 21?$100.00Jul 21, 22:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on July 22?$63.18Jul 21, 05:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on July 21?$69.09Jul 20, 04:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on July 19?$100.00Jul 19, 22:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on July 20?$70.17Jul 19, 04:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on July 18?$100.00Jul 18, 22:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on July 19?$69.09Jul 18, 04:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
60/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 135 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
38 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 33/100.
135 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $39.24
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 20, 04:19 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 14:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 135 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.