Dense-Camper
0xb1dcf794d2f42d56737f56a6a5232ef91b267525
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
24
Open notional
$405.41
Total PnL
$-752.70
Realised
$5.79
Win rate
50%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
405 shares @ 37.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$405.41
$255.41
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?
18445 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-149.97
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
2500 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-112.50
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on February 27?
639 shares @ 17.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-110.00
- NO
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?
475 shares @ 52.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-250.00
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on March 1?
317 shares @ 63.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- CHOINSKI
Qatar Open: Jakub Mensik vs Jan Choinski
302 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2026$0.00
$-0.30
- AUSTRALIA
T20 World Cup: Australia vs Sri Lanka (Game 1)
245 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2026$0.00
$-0.24
- YES
Will Austria win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
212 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-0.21
- MACHAC
Qatar Open: Tomas Machac vs Jannik Sinner
208 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2026$0.00
$-0.21
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01May 10, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 9, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 8, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 7, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 6, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 5, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 4, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 3, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 2, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 1, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Apr 30, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Apr 29, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Apr 28, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Apr 27, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Apr 26, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Apr 25, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Apr 24, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Apr 23, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Apr 22, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Apr 21, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
18/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
50% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 22, 00:46 UTC
- Last active
- May 10, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.