Attentive-Parliament
0xb1e5a3ad965ba18f882c945bc3483f6fe0ceb6d1
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$7.09
Total PnL
$-2.89
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Axiom be accused of insider trading?
4 shares @ 27.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$3.61
$2.61
- YES
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
2 shares @ 55.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.82
$0.82
- TUNDRA ESPORTS
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2
2 shares @ 60.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$1.67
$0.67
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
40 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
4 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Gold close below $4000 at the end of 2025?
3 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET
2 shares @ 61.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$0.00
$-0.99
- YES
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?
1 shares @ 67.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Dell say "Windows 10" during earnings call?
1 shares @ 93.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Tundra Esports vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2$1.00Feb 26, 13:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET$1.00Feb 26, 13:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET$1.00Feb 26, 13:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Axiom be accused of insider trading?$1.00Feb 26, 12:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$1.00Feb 26, 12:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?$1.02Feb 26, 12:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Snowflake say "AWS" during earnings call?$1.02Feb 26, 12:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?$1.08Feb 26, 12:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025$1.15Feb 26, 12:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Snowflake say "AWS" during earnings call?$1.00Oct 31, 13:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dell say "Windows 10" during earnings call?$1.00Oct 31, 13:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold close below $4000 at the end of 2025?$1.00Oct 31, 13:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$1.00Oct 31, 13:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?$1.00Oct 31, 13:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025$1.00Oct 31, 13:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?$1.00Oct 31, 13:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$1.00Oct 31, 13:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?$1.00Oct 31, 13:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
14 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 14
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 31, 13:00 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 26, 13:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.