Big-Lotion
0xb1e6c932599f164dacb3daf37ebf45509a63140c
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
16
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-355.34
Realised
$25.28
Win rate
75%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down on August 22?
1298 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 22, 2025$0.00
$-53.19
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $4600 and $4700 on August 14 at 5PM ET?
289 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 14, 2025$0.00
$-95.27
- YES
Will Elon tweet 475–499 times August 8–August 15?
222 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2025$0.00
$-19.99
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on August 14?
193 shares @ 15.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 14, 2025$0.00
$-30.60
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $119K and $120K on August 13 at 5PM ET?
167 shares @ 12.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 13, 2025$0.00
$-21.39
- YES
Will Elon tweet 225–239 times August 22–August 29?
159 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 29, 2025$0.00
$-14.31
- YES
Will Elon tweet 270–284 times August 22–August 29?
148 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 29, 2025$0.00
$-3.99
- YES
Will Elon tweet 250–274 times August 15–August 22?
130 shares @ 16.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 22, 2025$0.00
$-21.72
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down on September 2?
96 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 2, 2025$0.00
$-17.33
- YES
Will Elon tweet between 260 and 279 times September 5–12?
94 shares @ 26.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 12, 2025$0.00
$-24.83
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 26 to October 3, 2025?$18.08Oct 3, 14:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet between 260 and 279 times September 5–12?$14.83Sep 10, 23:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon tweet between 240 and 259 times September 5–12?$14.83Sep 10, 23:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet between 260 and 279 times September 5–12?$10.00Sep 9, 18:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet between 240 and 259 times September 5–12?$13.12Sep 9, 18:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down on September 2?$17.33Sep 2, 15:19 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down on September 2?$17.33Sep 2, 15:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down on September 2?$36.52Sep 2, 14:38 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down on September 2?$36.52Sep 2, 14:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down on September 2?$35.28Sep 2, 14:30 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down on September 2?$35.28Sep 2, 14:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down on September 2?$32.29Sep 2, 14:26 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down on September 2?$31.68Sep 2, 14:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down on September 2?$30.41Sep 2, 14:18 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down on September 2?$31.03Sep 2, 14:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down on September 2?$30.41Sep 2, 14:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 270–284 times August 22–August 29?$3.99Aug 27, 02:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon tweet 225–239 times August 22–August 29?$4.00Aug 27, 02:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 225–239 times August 22–August 29?$16.71Aug 26, 17:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $110K and $111K on August 26 at 4PM ET?$0.47Aug 26, 17:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $21.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 25, 12:31 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 3, 14:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".