Chief-Daffodil
0xb1ebece98d3415c956f1d1c31174ebf7db9a050a
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
56
Open notional
$4.59
Total PnL
$-176.54
Realised
$-3.90
Win rate
40%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 56- YES
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 1°C on March 12?
2 shares @ 82.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$2.44
$0.44
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 66-67°F on March 12?
2 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$2.15
$0.15
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET
10 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 21, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET
10 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET
10 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 21, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET
10 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET
10 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - February 22, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET
10 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET
10 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 21, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET
10 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on March 12?$4.00Mar 12, 20:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 66-67°F on March 12?$2.00Mar 12, 19:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 1°C on March 12?$2.00Mar 12, 19:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on March 12?$2.00Mar 12, 19:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 70-71°F on March 11?$1.08Mar 12, 19:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on March 11?$2.27Mar 12, 19:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 48-49°F on March 11?$3.24Mar 12, 19:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 7°C on March 11?$3.35Mar 11, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 7°C on March 11?$2.00Mar 11, 15:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 7°C on March 11?$2.00Mar 11, 15:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 70-71°F on March 11?$1.00Mar 11, 15:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on March 11?$2.00Mar 11, 15:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 48-49°F on March 11?$3.00Mar 11, 15:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on March 10?$1.11Mar 11, 09:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on March 10?$2.11Mar 11, 09:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 42-43°F on March 10?$2.20Mar 11, 09:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on March 10?$4.13Mar 11, 09:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 42-43°F on March 10?$1.00Mar 10, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 42-43°F on March 10?$1.00Mar 10, 18:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on March 10?$1.00Mar 10, 17:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $1.97
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 4, 12:43 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 12, 20:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".