0xb1f707470989340e21ee5332123625c3a202ebcc
0xb1f707470989340e21ee5332123625c3a202ebcc
Activity score
85/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
44
Open notional
$505.10
Total PnL
$-194.10
Realised
$25.54
Win rate
75%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 44- NO
Will Russia enter Vasylivka by May 31, 2026?
95 shares @ 49.0¢·now 66.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$62.65
$16.14
- YES
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
74 shares @ 65.2¢·now 61.5¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$45.76
$-2.73
- NO
Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by May 31?
47 shares @ 69.5¢·now 92.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$43.13
$10.72
- YES
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?
75 shares @ 54.0¢·now 53.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$40.13
$-0.38
- YES
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?
72 shares @ 32.2¢·now 34.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$24.59
$1.35
- YES
Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by May 31?
209 shares @ 31.4¢·now 11.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$22.98
$-42.58
- YES
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31, 2026?
121 shares @ 22.0¢·now 18.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$22.46
$-4.25
- NO
Will Putin visit China by May 31?
124 shares @ 23.9¢·now 17.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$21.14
$-8.60
- YES
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
49 shares @ 39.0¢·now 42.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$20.85
$1.76
- YES
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?
255 shares @ 17.3¢·now 7.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$19.14
$-25.02
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?$1.703h ago
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 31, 2026?$2.7813h ago
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 31, 2026?$2.8913h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Putin visit China by May 31?$14.3318h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Putin visit China by May 31?$2.9918h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?$5.5820h ago
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?$0.002d ago
- REDEEMRussia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?$0.212d ago
- REDEEMIran closes its airspace by May 8?$8.002d ago
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?$4.422d ago
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$5.033d ago
- TRADESELLWill Russia enter Druzkhivka by June 30?$20.433d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31?$5.303d ago
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$3.994d ago
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$6.174d ago
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$2.044d ago
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$10.004d ago
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$1.244d ago
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$11.224d ago
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$24.384d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $7.28
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 9d ago
- Last active
- 3h ago
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
