Practical-Brunch
0xb1f7a26212a9dfefabc9bd44995357f7b3316764
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-8.58
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 7°C on January 28?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
71 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET
10 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-2.58
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Coffee" this week? (April 12)$0.00Apr 14, 14:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Coffee" this week? (April 12)$2.48Apr 9, 02:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Coffee" this week? (April 12)$0.90Apr 8, 22:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Coffee" this week? (April 12)$0.10Apr 8, 20:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Coffee" this week? (April 12)$5.53Apr 8, 17:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Gay" this week? (April 5)$0.00Apr 6, 07:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Gay" this week? (April 5)$5.00Apr 4, 10:37 UTC
- REDEEMMaccabi Tel Aviv vs. BC Dubai$25.64Mar 28, 16:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYMaccabi Tel Aviv vs. BC Dubai$10.00Mar 26, 21:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Regime Change" this week? (March 29)$103.90Mar 25, 05:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Regime Change" this week? (March 29)$30.13Mar 23, 06:07 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iraq by March 7?$30.13Mar 7, 12:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iraq by March 7?$40.69Mar 5, 11:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike Gaza on February 16, 2026?$40.67Feb 17, 08:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Gaza on February 16, 2026?$408.93Feb 16, 11:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Gaza on February 16, 2026?$19.41Feb 16, 11:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Gaza on February 16, 2026?$4.23Feb 16, 11:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Gaza on February 16, 2026?$76.38Feb 16, 11:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Gaza on February 16, 2026?$61.47Feb 16, 11:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Gaza on February 16, 2026?$138.95Feb 16, 11:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
40 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $71.30
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 30, 13:10 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 14, 14:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.