Outgoing-Effect
0xb20666a4b1d82701982306daec486bc828f3ffa2
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
200
Open notional
$50.76
Total PnL
$-5.4K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
51 shares @ 98.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$50.76
$0.76
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - February 28, 6AM ET
89 shares @ 94.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-84.54
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - February 27, 5PM ET
89 shares @ 99.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-88.07
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - February 22, 5PM ET
89 shares @ 99.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-88.01
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 12PM ET
89 shares @ 95.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-84.87
- UP
Solana Up or Down - March 1, 10AM ET
88 shares @ 97.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-86.05
- UP
XRP Up or Down - February 27, 1PM ET
87 shares @ 92.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-80.04
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 9PM ET
87 shares @ 95.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$0.00
$-82.61
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - February 27, 5PM ET
87 shares @ 97.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-84.28
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - February 27, 8AM ET
87 shares @ 95.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-82.44
Recent activity
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - April 10, 10PM ET$0.45May 21, 10:29 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - April 11, 10AM ET$0.53May 21, 10:29 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - April 12, 7AM ET$0.73May 21, 10:29 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - April 2, 2PM ET$0.84May 21, 10:29 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - March 9, 8AM ET$0.91May 21, 10:29 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - April 3, 11AM ET$0.95May 21, 10:29 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - April 28, 12AM ET$12.76May 21, 10:29 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - April 28, 12AM ET$12.81May 21, 10:29 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - April 28, 1AM ET$12.93May 21, 10:29 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12AM ET$12.94May 21, 10:29 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - April 28, 1AM ET$27.84May 21, 10:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$50.04May 21, 10:29 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - April 27, 11PM ET$12.81Apr 28, 05:55 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11PM ET$12.95Apr 28, 05:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - April 28, 1AM ET$2.13Apr 28, 05:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - April 28, 1AM ET$13.80Apr 28, 05:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - April 28, 1AM ET$12.09Apr 28, 05:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - April 28, 1AM ET$12.88Apr 28, 05:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - April 28, 1AM ET$12.88Apr 28, 05:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1AM ET$11.70Apr 28, 05:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $13.08
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 28, 00:55 UTC
- Last active
- May 21, 10:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".