Bad-Certainty
0xb21324246d3c761222f3c33fd0878cb1163049e1
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$86.11
Total PnL
$-41.20
Realised
$-0.42
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSpread: San Francisco Giants (-4.5)$76.27Jun 8, 01:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Denmark win on 2026-06-07?$24.03Jun 8, 01:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Denmark win on 2026-06-07?$1.00Jun 8, 01:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Denmark win on 2026-06-07?$1.00Jun 8, 01:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Denmark win on 2026-06-07?$15.19Jun 8, 00:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Colombia win on 2026-06-07?$52.16Jun 8, 00:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Denmark win on 2026-06-07?$12.96Jun 8, 00:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Colombia win on 2026-06-07?$24.52Jun 7, 23:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Colombia win on 2026-06-07?$15.00Jun 7, 23:36 UTC
- TRADESELLLos Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers$12.80Jun 7, 23:22 UTC
- TRADESELLSpread: New York Mets (-3.5)$27.07Jun 7, 23:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: New York Mets (-3.5)$25.79Jun 7, 22:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: New York Mets (-4.5)$34.21Jun 7, 22:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: New York Mets (-4.5)$11.06Jun 7, 22:48 UTC
- REDEEMSeattle Mariners vs. Detroit Tigers$0.00Jun 7, 22:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Slovenia win on 2026-06-07?$0.00Jun 7, 22:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Croatia vs. Slovenia end in a draw?$0.00Jun 7, 22:47 UTC
- TRADESELLSpread: New York Mets (-4.5)$6.54Jun 7, 22:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: New York Mets (-4.5)$7.03Jun 7, 22:46 UTC
- TRADESELLNew York Mets vs. San Diego Padres$21.37Jun 7, 22:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $14.77
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 7, 19:22 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 8, 01:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.