Ordinary-Thickness
0xb214cfdf8bcaefbcf36043a96d440f49333357b5
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
127
Open notional
$638.25
Total PnL
$-358.54
Realised
$-5.32
Win rate
27%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 127- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on December 28?
86 shares @ 71.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 28, 2025$86.30
$24.90
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on December 15?
49 shares @ 87.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 15, 2025$49.23
$5.99
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on December 26?
46 shares @ 86.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 26, 2025$46.37
$6.42
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on December 12?
45 shares @ 88.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 12, 2025$45.00
$5.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 27?
36 shares @ 87.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 27, 2025$36.05
$4.48
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on December 28?
27 shares @ 64.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 28, 2025$26.53
$9.55
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025?
25 shares @ 83.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$25.00
$4.15
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on December 26?
22 shares @ 55.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 26, 2025$21.87
$9.83
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on December 27?
21 shares @ 90.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 27, 2025$20.91
$2.00
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on December 11?
20 shares @ 5.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025$20.00
$19.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $86,000 December 22-28?$4.40Dec 28, 10:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on December 28?$2.10Dec 28, 10:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on December 28?$2.05Dec 28, 10:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 28?$2.25Dec 28, 10:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on December 28?$3.75Dec 28, 10:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 28?$2.30Dec 28, 10:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on December 28?$3.80Dec 28, 10:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on December 28?$2.30Dec 28, 10:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on December 28?$2.40Dec 28, 10:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on December 28?$3.85Dec 28, 10:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on December 28?$3.85Dec 28, 10:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on December 28?$3.85Dec 28, 10:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on December 28?$3.85Dec 28, 10:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on December 28?$2.25Dec 28, 10:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on December 28?$2.25Dec 28, 10:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on December 28?$1.00Dec 28, 10:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 28?$5.67Dec 28, 10:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on December 28?$3.70Dec 28, 10:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 28?$3.10Dec 28, 09:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 28?$1.00Dec 28, 09:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $2.54
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 27, 22:21 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 28, 10:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".