0xb21799f2c5215e2e598c011122ff63f81883932e
0xb21799f2c5215e2e598c011122ff63f81883932e
Wallet digest
Activity score
31/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-8.4K
Realised
$-3.5K
Win rate
1%
146 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET
702 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-7.02
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - February 18, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET
515 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-18.00
- UP
Solana Up or Down - February 18, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET
470 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-14.00
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - February 18, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET
470 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-14.00
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - February 18, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET
417 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-16.00
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - February 18, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET
413 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
XRP Up or Down - February 18, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET
382 shares @ 6.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-23.99
- UP
Solana Up or Down - February 18, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET
367 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 19, 2026$0.00
$-12.00
- UP
XRP Up or Down - February 18, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET
367 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-12.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET
360 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-7.20
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET$13.20Jul 22, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET$16.80Jul 22, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - July 21, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET$34.09Jul 21, 23:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 21, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET$2.72Jul 21, 23:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 21, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET$8.80Jul 21, 23:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 21, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET$18.48Jul 21, 23:42 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - July 21, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET$32.97Jul 21, 23:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 21, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET$22.89Jul 21, 23:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 21, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET$7.12Jul 21, 23:06 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - July 21, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET$1.23Jul 21, 22:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 21, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET$1.16Jul 21, 21:55 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - July 21, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET$33.33Jul 21, 21:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 21, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET$9.30Jul 21, 21:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 21, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET$20.70Jul 21, 21:38 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET$32.61Jul 21, 21:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET$30.00Jul 21, 21:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 21, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET$30.00Jul 21, 21:13 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET$32.04Jul 21, 20:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET$29.80Jul 21, 20:38 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 3PM ET$5.38Jul 21, 20:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
59/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
1% win rate over 146 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
33 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 30/100.
146 closed markets, 1% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $17.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 21, 08:49 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 146 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.