Political-Hovercraft
0xb21b1195d2850c82c34499eb48becddf30f37fe1
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-5.0K
Realised
$536.64
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
625561 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-625.56
- NO
Will Fernando Mendoza be the first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft?
136157 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2026$0.00
$-241.41
- YES
Will Missouri win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
118412 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-236.82
- YES
Will Louisville win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
86146 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-378.52
- YES
Will Pete Buttigieg be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?
20296 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 22, 2024$0.00
$-418.62
- NO
Will Keely Hodgkinson (GBR) win gold in 800m W?
12465 shares @ 14.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 5, 2024$0.00
$-1.8K
- YES
Will Nebraska win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
10470 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-41.88
- NO
Will Democratic VP nominee be a white man?
10000 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 22, 2024$0.00
$-600.00
- YES
Will Kamala say "Coconut" in August?
3699 shares @ 34.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2024$0.00
$-1.3K
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Fernando Mendoza be the first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft?$100.00Apr 23, 23:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fernando Mendoza be the first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft?$23.00Apr 23, 23:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fernando Mendoza be the first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft?$91.69Apr 23, 23:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fernando Mendoza be the first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft?$0.52Apr 23, 23:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fernando Mendoza be the first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft?$12.55Apr 23, 22:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fernando Mendoza be the first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft?$0.11Apr 23, 22:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fernando Mendoza be the first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft?$0.14Apr 23, 22:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fernando Mendoza be the first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft?$0.49Apr 23, 22:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fernando Mendoza be the first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft?$0.01Apr 23, 22:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fernando Mendoza be the first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft?$0.91Apr 23, 22:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fernando Mendoza be the first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft?$0.40Apr 23, 22:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fernando Mendoza be the first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft?$0.18Apr 23, 22:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fernando Mendoza be the first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft?$0.91Apr 23, 22:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fernando Mendoza be the first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft?$9.00Apr 23, 22:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fernando Mendoza be the first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft?$0.91Apr 23, 21:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fernando Mendoza be the first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft?$0.05Apr 23, 21:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fernando Mendoza be the first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft?$0.02Apr 23, 21:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fernando Mendoza be the first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft?$0.54Apr 23, 21:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mark Cuban be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?$0.00Apr 12, 05:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mark Cuban be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?$0.00Apr 12, 05:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $5.26
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 21, 14:39 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 23, 23:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".