Stupendous-Buggy
0xb21f30582426071c8b93d9c8ae1a5e8f2bcac210
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$5.30
Total PnL
$-41.83
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
5 shares @ 95.0¢·now 96.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.30
$0.10
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on January 14?
5375 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-10.75
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $94,000 and $96,000 on December 18?
5353 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 18, 2025$0.00
$-10.71
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on April 20?
2077 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-4.15
- YES
Will the price of XRP be above $1.80 on April 18?
2067 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$0.00
$-4.13
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on May 15?
1852 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-3.70
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 22?
1283 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-3.85
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $120 and $130 on February 16?
1160 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026$0.00
$-4.64
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on July 3?$13.81Jul 3, 16:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on July 3?$13.77Jul 2, 05:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,300 (LOW) in June?$6.18Jun 30, 22:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Netflix (NFLX) close above $180 end of June?$5.60Jun 30, 20:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,300 (LOW) in June?$6.17Jun 26, 06:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netflix (NFLX) close above $180 end of June?$5.58Jun 20, 04:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on June 15?$18.76Jun 15, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on June 15?$18.70Jun 13, 05:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on May 31?$20.51Jun 1, 03:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on May 31?$20.47May 30, 13:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $375 Week of May 18 2026?$20.36May 22, 22:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $375 Week of May 18 2026?$20.30May 21, 11:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on May 15?$3.70May 15, 11:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 9?$24.20May 9, 23:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 9?$24.11May 8, 03:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill The Bride be the March film with the highest domestic gross on April 30?$4.24May 2, 07:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 on April 30?$2.1KMay 1, 05:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 on April 30?$2.1KApr 30, 23:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on April 30?$2.1KApr 30, 20:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on April 30?$2.1KApr 30, 11:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $547.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 7, 06:35 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 3, 16:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.