Real-Heavy
0xb223ca26f824a5ad2cbe0e5ecde7be2ceb4cfdb7
Wallet digest
Activity score
47/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-171.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?
1667 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?
1322 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-46.00
- NO
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 11?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will MrBeast's next video get 59 million or more views on day 4?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 40-49 tweets from March 10 to March 11, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 57 and 59 million views on day 4?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 11?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Netanyahu out by March 31?
375 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- NO
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on March 11?$0.00Apr 8, 10:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on March 11?$0.00Apr 8, 10:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?$30.00Apr 8, 10:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?$1.00Mar 25, 12:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 14°C on March 16?$0.00Mar 17, 15:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by March 31?$15.00Mar 17, 15:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 14°C on March 16?$1.00Mar 16, 17:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed Cut–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?$1.00Mar 12, 11:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?$1.00Mar 12, 11:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get 59 million or more views on day 4?$1.00Mar 11, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 57 and 59 million views on day 4?$1.00Mar 11, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-49 tweets from March 10 to March 11, 2026?$1.00Mar 11, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on March 11?$1.00Mar 11, 16:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?$1.00Mar 11, 16:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on March 11?$1.00Mar 11, 15:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 11?$1.00Mar 11, 15:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 11?$1.00Mar 11, 15:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?$16.00Mar 10, 18:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?$100.00Mar 10, 18:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $10.81
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 10, 18:57 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 8, 10:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".