Fussy-Skylight
0xb22682e5efaaa5ae3f48c3b727cf78ae57c04163
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$2.3K
Total PnL
$-1.3K
Realised
$1.84
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
108 shares @ 32.0¢·now 40.5¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$43.62
$9.09
- NO
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
37 shares @ 82.5¢·now 90.3¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$33.30
$2.89
- NO
Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
38 shares @ 79.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$31.76
$1.35
- NO
Will Argentina win the World Cup?
38 shares @ 80.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$31.74
$1.33
- NO
World Cup: Most Player Goals Record Broken?
33 shares @ 92.8¢·now 96.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$31.61
$1.20
- NO
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
34 shares @ 90.0¢·now 93.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$31.51
$1.10
- NO
Will United States win the Fair Play Award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
31 shares @ 96.9¢·now 97.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$30.65
$0.24
- NO
Will Jessica Pegula be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?
34 shares @ 90.4¢·now 91.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$30.61
$0.20
- NO
Will England be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?
40 shares @ 76.0¢·now 76.5¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$30.61
$0.20
- NO
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
32 shares @ 94.0¢·now 94.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$30.39
$-0.02
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on July 4?$8.08Jul 5, 07:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on July 4?$8.54Jul 5, 07:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Benjamin" or "Franklin" during Tribute to America Rally?$74.76Jul 5, 07:24 UTC
- REDEEMExact Score: Paraguay 0 - 0 France?$18.12Jul 5, 06:15 UTC
- REDEEMExact Score: Paraguay 0 - 3 France?$19.94Jul 5, 06:15 UTC
- REDEEMExact Score: Canada 1 - 0 Morocco?$20.43Jul 5, 06:15 UTC
- REDEEMExact Score: Canada 1 - 1 Morocco?$20.45Jul 5, 06:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on July 4?$20.61Jul 5, 06:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 18°C on July 4?$21.19Jul 5, 06:15 UTC
- REDEEMExact Score: Paraguay 1 - 1 France?$21.44Jul 5, 06:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Miguel Almirón score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$22.22Jul 5, 06:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Canada vs. Morocco end in a draw?$22.96Jul 5, 06:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elena Rybakina be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?$23.21Jul 5, 06:15 UTC
- REDEEMCanada leading at halftime?$26.37Jul 5, 06:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on July 4?$28.37Jul 5, 06:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on July 4?$29.13Jul 5, 06:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on July 4?$51.51Jul 5, 06:15 UTC
- REDEEMExact Score: Qingdao Xihaian FC 2 - 2 Shanghai Haigang FC?$51.71Jul 5, 06:15 UTC
- REDEEMExact Score: Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC 0 - 0 Gangwon FC?$61.31Jul 5, 06:15 UTC
- REDEEMExact Score: FC Anyang 0 - 2 Pohang Steelers FC?$72.83Jul 5, 06:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
22/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
67% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 5, 06:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 5, 07:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.