Hairy-Tectonics
0xb2335b5733760a41454748fd35da1ae965c8ab4c
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-72.87
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET
4667 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET
4000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- NO
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
2000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- NO
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 9, 2026?
2000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET
453 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET
438 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- NO
Will Elon Musk be richest person on March 31?
400 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET
400 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - March 10, 12AM ET
247 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
200 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Bad Bunny have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?$0.00Jun 21, 04:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?$0.00Jun 21, 04:24 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET$0.00Mar 27, 16:44 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET$0.00Mar 27, 16:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 78 and 79 million views on day 5?$9.00Mar 25, 18:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET$4.00Mar 25, 12:11 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET$7.64Mar 25, 12:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET$4.00Mar 25, 12:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET$4.00Mar 25, 12:05 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET$6.11Mar 25, 12:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET$4.31Mar 25, 12:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bad Bunny have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?$2.00Mar 25, 02:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?$2.00Mar 25, 02:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast hit 117 billion views by March 31?$2.00Mar 25, 02:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 71 million views on day 4?$2.00Mar 25, 02:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 69 and 70 million views on day 4?$2.00Mar 25, 02:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$2.00Mar 25, 01:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk be richest person on March 31?$2.00Mar 25, 01:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "SWIM - BTS" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?$2.00Mar 25, 01:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET$4.00Mar 24, 23:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
31 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 46/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $4.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 9, 05:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 21, 04:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.