Humongous-Joey
0xb23d1be764d428934a883caf4f9eaf0e5cbd10fd
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
52
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-352.21
Realised
$-27.55
Win rate
0%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 52- YES
Will Donald Trump say "F-35" or "drone" or "helicopter" at least five times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?
991 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Finland win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?
390 shares @ 7.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- NO
US strikes Yemen by December 31?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET
208 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-9.99
- YES
Will Donald Trump say "cocaine" at least five times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Nicolás Maduro seen in public by January 5?
167 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump say "CIA" or "FBI" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?
165 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump say "communist" or "communism" at least three times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?
153 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET
100 shares @ 39.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-39.44
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYExact Score: France 2 - 0 Iraq?$2.04Jun 22, 21:53 UTC
- TRADESELLAdrien Rabiot: 1+ assists$0.15Jun 22, 21:51 UTC
- TRADESELLExact Score: Any Other Score?$1.84Jun 22, 21:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYAdrien Rabiot: 1+ assists$1.03Jun 22, 21:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Any Other Score?$5.08Jun 22, 20:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYMaghnes Akliouche: 1+ assists$1.03Jun 22, 20:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYMarcus Thuram: 1+ assists$1.03Jun 22, 20:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYJean-Philippe Mateta: 1+ assists$1.03Jun 22, 20:18 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET$4.95Jun 16, 10:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET$5.24Jun 16, 10:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET$5.25Jun 16, 10:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET$5.24Jun 6, 20:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET$5.22Jun 6, 20:24 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET$7.14Jun 6, 20:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET$5.21Jun 6, 20:09 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET$8.01Jun 6, 19:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET$5.29Jun 6, 19:57 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET$18.07Jun 5, 22:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET$25.82Jun 5, 22:15 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET$27.91Jun 5, 22:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
26/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $7.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 31, 22:47 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 22, 21:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.