Impassioned-Area
0xb23df06ab6f132c6e4e186cc371f042a493949ff
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
33
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-710.58
Realised
$-19.69
Win rate
0%
33 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 33- YES
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
854 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-27.33
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET
537 shares @ 17.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-93.99
- NORWAY
Norway vs. England: Team to Advance
512 shares @ 32.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$0.00
$-166.47
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
455 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- MEXICO
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance
235 shares @ 47.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-111.36
- YES
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?
225 shares @ 53.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-121.00
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Exact Score: Algeria 0 - 1 Austria?
111 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win on 2026-07-11?$1.20Jul 11, 21:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYNorway vs. England: Team to Advance$172.09Jul 11, 21:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win on 2026-07-11?$9.96Jul 11, 21:06 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$10.00Jul 9, 21:43 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 7, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 6, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYMexico vs. England: Team to Advance$13.67Jul 5, 22:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico win on 2026-07-05?$25.51Jul 5, 22:19 UTC
- TRADESELLBrazil vs. Norway: Team to Advance$38.92Jul 5, 22:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYMexico vs. England: Team to Advance$99.45Jul 5, 09:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBrazil vs. Norway: Team to Advance$11.94Jul 5, 08:59 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 5, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 4, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 3, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 2, 00:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$28.12Jul 1, 04:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$25.71Jul 1, 04:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET$1.07Jun 28, 05:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET$1.06Jun 28, 05:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET$1.06Jun 28, 05:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
57/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 33 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
41 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 35/100.
33 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $72.93
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 28, 05:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 11, 21:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 33 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.