Neglected-Update
0xb241a428ca635f5c90cccf707d611e9c8da0f3b1
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.4K
Realised
$-80.45
Win rate
0%
200 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET
410 shares @ 7.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET
184 shares @ 8.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET
123 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET
90 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET
84 shares @ 5.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET
83 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET
74 shares @ 20.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET
73 shares @ 20.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET
71 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET
59 shares @ 16.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET$1.49Aug 11, 18:06 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET$0.00Aug 11, 18:06 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET$1.37Aug 11, 18:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET$1.02Aug 11, 18:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET$1.02Aug 11, 17:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET$1.03Aug 11, 17:46 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET$1.33Aug 11, 17:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET$1.02Aug 11, 17:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET$1.02Aug 11, 17:38 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET$1.64Aug 11, 17:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET$1.03Aug 11, 17:31 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET$1.35Aug 11, 17:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET$1.02Aug 11, 17:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET$1.02Aug 11, 17:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET$1.02Aug 11, 17:16 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET$1.72Aug 11, 17:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET$1.03Aug 11, 17:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET$1.02Aug 11, 17:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET$1.03Aug 11, 16:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET$1.03Aug 11, 16:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
63/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 200 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
32 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 22/100.
200 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $1.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 11, 14:46 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 11, 18:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 200 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.