0xb24bdd4ea9a9192a538ffc783293e2af80f8bddf
0xb24bdd4ea9a9192a538ffc783293e2af80f8bddf
Wallet digest
Activity score
47/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$14.11
Total PnL
$-111.35
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
71 shares @ 28.0¢·now 19.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$14.11
$-5.89
- YES
Will the PPC win 1 seat in the next Canadian Election?
1935 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2025$0.00
$-32.46
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?
625 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will the Liberals win less than 100 seats in the next Canadian Election?
244 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 20, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the Liberals win between 100-119 seats in the next Canadian Election?
221 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 20, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal majority?
167 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Jagmeet Singh lose his seat?
83 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
62 shares @ 16.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?
62 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the Pacers beat the Thunder 4-0?
53 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
No activity on record.
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- —
- Last active
- —
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.