Hoarse-Guideline
0xb257e76698dd9abe776c5070ee9b38a898df0ef6
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
41
Open notional
$14.47
Total PnL
$-177.34
Realised
$0.42
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 41- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on May 6?
6 shares @ 33.0¢·now 36.5¢·exp May 6, 2026$2.21
$0.21
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on May 6?
6 shares @ 33.0¢·now 28.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$1.70
$-0.30
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 5?
13 shares @ 39.0¢·now 13.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$1.67
$-3.33
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
13 shares @ 15.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$1.53
$-0.47
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
20 shares @ 10.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$1.30
$-0.70
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
44 shares @ 4.5¢·now 2.5¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$1.09
$-0.91
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
211 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.95
$-1.05
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
45 shares @ 2.2¢·now 1.8¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$0.84
$-0.16
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 16°C on May 5?
184 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.4¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.74
$-0.26
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
13 shares @ 8.0¢·now 4.5¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.56
$-0.44
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 18°C on May 6?$1.0511h ago
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 20°C on May 6?$0.3311h ago
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 19°C on May 6?$0.1011h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 15°C on May 5?$1.0511h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 16°C on May 5?$1.0511h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 21°C on May 6?$1.0411h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 20°C on May 6?$1.0511h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on May 6?$2.0711h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on May 6?$2.0711h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 19°C on May 6?$1.0511h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 5?$2.0711h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 5?$5.1511h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C or higher on May 5?$1.0511h ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 5?$1.3811h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 5?$1.042d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 3?$1.052d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 3?$1.052d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on May 4?$1.052d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 3?$3.092d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 3?$1.053d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $3.10
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 52d ago
- Last active
- 11h ago
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".