Fearless-Sorrel
0xb2595aa052c582c4c3be72d841c8151e53e9d767
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-76.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $98,000 on October 25?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 25, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
357 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $108,000 on November 5?
276 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Trump and Xi shake hands for less than 2 seconds on October 30, 2025?
215 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 30, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?
136 shares @ 7.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $130k in October?
125 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $100k in October?
115 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $106,000 on November 5?
89 shares @ 5.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $112,000 and $114,000 on November 2?
75 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 2, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10PM ET
50 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Trump create a tariff dividend in 2025?$2.82Dec 10, 22:36 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$18.87Dec 10, 22:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$10.00Nov 19, 02:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump create a tariff dividend in 2025?$10.00Nov 13, 02:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$1.00Nov 12, 20:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $108,000 and $110,000 on November 11?$5.00Nov 11, 04:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $102,000 and $104,000 on November 10?$0.00Nov 11, 04:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Ahmed al-Sharaa shake hands for between 10 and 15 seconds on November 10 2025?$10.00Nov 10, 15:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end November 8-11?$10.00Nov 10, 14:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $102,000 and $104,000 on November 10?$10.00Nov 10, 03:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $106,000 on November 5?$5.00Nov 5, 05:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $108,000 on November 5?$5.00Nov 5, 05:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $112,000 and $114,000 on November 2?$3.00Nov 2, 04:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - October 31, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET$3.00Nov 1, 03:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10PM ET$5.00Nov 1, 02:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Xi shake hands for less than 2 seconds on October 30, 2025?$3.00Oct 30, 01:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $100k in October?$3.00Oct 29, 18:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $130k in October?$1.00Oct 29, 04:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Government shutdown end October 23-26?$0.14Oct 26, 01:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - October 25, 9PM ET$10.00Oct 26, 01:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $5.41
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 18, 12:44 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 10, 22:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".