Cheery-Fennel
0xb2597dbc585befdcccac39c7c23ff70253de9207
Wallet digest
Activity score
76/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
28
Open notional
$214.13
Total PnL
$-182.20
Realised
$-8.09
Win rate
57%
14 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- NO
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 26?
80 shares @ 57.0¢·now 53.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$42.40
$-3.20
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on June 26?
80 shares @ 46.0¢·now 44.5¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$35.60
$-1.20
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on June 26?
57 shares @ 44.0¢·now 40.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$22.80
$-2.28
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on June 27?
38 shares @ 49.0¢·now 53.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$20.33
$1.71
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on June 27?
38 shares @ 51.0¢·now 46.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$17.67
$-1.71
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 32°C on June 26?
34 shares @ 55.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$17.05
$-1.89
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 26?
80 shares @ 23.0¢·now 19.5¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$15.60
$-2.80
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 37°C on June 26?
34 shares @ 47.0¢·now 37.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$12.58
$-3.40
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 35°C on June 26?
26 shares @ 50.0¢·now 39.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$10.14
$-2.86
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C on June 26?
33 shares @ 48.0¢·now 26.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$8.58
$-7.26
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on June 27?$18.62Jun 26, 06:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 26?$45.60Jun 26, 06:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on June 27?$19.38Jun 26, 05:33 UTC
- MERGEWill the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on June 26?$23.69Jun 26, 05:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on June 26?$12.32Jun 26, 05:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on June 26?$36.80Jun 26, 05:12 UTC
- MERGEWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 35°C on June 27?$29.00Jun 26, 05:11 UTC
- MERGEWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on June 27?$53.00Jun 26, 05:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on June 27?$28.62Jun 26, 05:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 35°C on June 27?$4.41Jun 26, 04:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 35°C on June 27?$14.79Jun 26, 04:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 35°C on June 27?$10.05Jun 26, 04:48 UTC
- MERGEWill the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on June 26?$56.31Jun 26, 04:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on June 26?$20.77Jun 26, 04:41 UTC
- MERGEWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 32°C on June 26?$80.00Jun 26, 04:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on June 26?$8.51Jun 26, 04:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 32°C on June 26?$4.89Jun 26, 04:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 32°C on June 26?$14.05Jun 26, 04:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 32°C on June 26?$22.25Jun 26, 04:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 32°C on June 26?$18.94Jun 26, 04:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
40/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
57% win rate over 14 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
38 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 44/100.
14 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $14.41
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 26, 03:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 26, 06:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 14 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.