Thorough-Scaffold
0xb25abea830ebdb252aec9f530c8d371f30cbf391
Wallet digest
Activity score
86/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
38
Open notional
$40.00
Total PnL
$-145.07
Realised
$14.76
Win rate
100%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 38- YES
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-03-06?
40 shares @ 61.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$40.00
$15.60
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 72°F or higher on January 10?
84 shares @ 17.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$0.00
$-14.90
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
71 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 8AM ET
70 shares @ 8.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 58-59°F on January 10?
64 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 8PM ET
63 shares @ 20.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-12.76
- YES
Will the US strike Iran next?
62 shares @ 8.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 2PM ET
58 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?
53 shares @ 13.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 5PM ET
53 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill SSC Napoli win on 2026-03-06?$24.40Mar 6, 10:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 6?$5.00Mar 6, 09:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?$13.43Mar 6, 09:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump cut off trade with Spain?$5.00Mar 3, 21:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Autozone (AZO) beat quarterly earnings?$0.00Mar 3, 21:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Autozone (AZO) beat quarterly earnings?$37.90Mar 3, 21:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?$10.12Mar 1, 00:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Drake release Iceman before GTA VI?$10.12Mar 1, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Autozone (AZO) beat quarterly earnings?$18.52Mar 1, 00:15 UTC
- REDEEMSupreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?$6.76Mar 1, 00:07 UTC
- REDEEMKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$11.76Mar 1, 00:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYHobart International: Iva Jovic vs Elisabetta Cocciaretto$37.44Jan 17, 00:22 UTC
- REDEEMSV Werder Bremen vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 2.5$37.44Jan 17, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYSV Werder Bremen vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 2.5$21.64Jan 16, 18:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill State Street (STT) beat quarterly earnings?$21.65Jan 16, 18:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill State Street (STT) beat quarterly earnings?$17.10Jan 15, 16:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) beat quarterly earnings?$17.10Jan 15, 16:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) beat quarterly earnings?$14.55Jan 14, 21:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-14?$13.68Jan 14, 21:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-14?$10.00Jan 14, 19:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $6.89
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 11, 18:01 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 6, 10:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.