Fumbling-Knickers
0xb25afa45bd77d10e223125b7f773ddbe18508789
Wallet digest
Activity score
51/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$0.32
Total PnL
$-337.45
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Will Trump and Putin meet next in another country?
91 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.32
$-9.68
- YES
Will Curtis Sliwa drop out?
1250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Nvidia have a #1 AI model this year?
400 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by October 31?
297 shares @ 17.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-51.00
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?
287 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by October 31?
253 shares @ 7.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will voter turnout in the next New York City mayoral election be between 30–33%?
195 shares @ 20.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will Trump and Zelenskyy shake hands for between 4 and 6 seconds?
172 shares @ 11.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 17, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
U.S. forces in Gaza in 2025?
125 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in November?
113 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-60.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 30?$17.63Nov 29, 11:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill no leader be out in 2025?$0.00Nov 15, 13:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Andrew Cuomo win Staten Island?$15.57Nov 5, 07:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?$79.54Nov 5, 07:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYDemocratic sweep?$11.49Nov 4, 11:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $115,000 in November?$60.00Nov 3, 21:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Green Bay Packers win Super Bowl 2026?$5.00Nov 3, 21:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Curtis Sliwa win Staten Island?$20.00Nov 3, 21:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andrew Cuomo win Staten Island?$5.00Nov 3, 21:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win Staten Island?$5.00Nov 3, 21:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Curtis Sliwa drop out?$5.00Nov 3, 21:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the federal government be shut down for 30 or more days in 2025?$78.69Nov 3, 20:53 UTC
- TRADESELLCurrent shutdown longest in U.S. history?$32.80Nov 3, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYMaduro out in 2025?$20.28Oct 19, 22:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?$19.55Oct 19, 22:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by October 31?$51.00Oct 19, 21:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nvidia have a #1 AI model this year?$20.00Oct 18, 18:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 30?$10.00Oct 18, 18:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Myrnohrad by October 31?$20.00Oct 18, 18:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill voter turnout in the next New York City mayoral election be between 30–33%?$40.00Oct 18, 03:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $22.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 18, 03:15 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 29, 11:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".