Uncommon-Billion
0xb25ed09b7693fc975c8d1ee825b4a37a60d4a93b
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
173
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.5K
Realised
$-6.46
Win rate
70%
30 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 173- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 30-31°F on February 23?
1357 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on July 16?
1191 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 16, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on July 16?
1186 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 16, 2026$0.00
$-2.78
- YES
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on July 2?
1100 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on June 17?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on May 10?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 14?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on May 22?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 32°C on June 30?
954 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.91
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on May 6?
915 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-40.38
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on July 27?$0.10Jul 27, 22:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on July 27?$0.79Jul 27, 22:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on July 27?$12.33Jul 27, 22:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on July 27?$0.01Jul 27, 20:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on July 27?$0.02Jul 27, 20:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 30°C on July 27?$2.00Jul 27, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on July 24?$4.52Jul 24, 23:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on July 24?$0.02Jul 24, 23:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on July 24?$0.08Jul 24, 23:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on July 24?$0.10Jul 24, 23:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on July 24?$0.28Jul 24, 23:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on July 24?$0.61Jul 24, 23:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on July 23?$1.00Jul 23, 21:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on July 23?$1.00Jul 23, 21:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on July 23?$1.25Jul 23, 21:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on July 23?$0.10Jul 23, 21:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on July 23?$0.65Jul 23, 21:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 22?$0.80Jul 23, 00:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 22?$0.40Jul 23, 00:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on July 22?$0.78Jul 22, 01:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
56/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
70% win rate over 30 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 23/100.
30 closed markets, 70% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 20, 04:02 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 27, 22:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 30 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.