Identical-Convenience
0xb260e0b02e630f72a82a77cdc57ea4ae025c5e3c
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$22.89
Total PnL
$1.89
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% before August?
6 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$6.02
$0.02
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?
6 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$5.75
$0.75
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?
5 shares @ 95.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$5.25
$0.25
- NO
Yoon out of custody by July 31?
4 shares @ 99.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$4.03
$0.03
- NO
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
2 shares @ 54.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.85
$0.85
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYYoon out of custody by July 31?$4.00Jul 25, 11:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump's approval rating hit 35% before August?$6.00Jul 25, 11:29 UTC
- REDEEMFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after May 2025 meeting?$6.02Jul 25, 11:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill DeepSeek have the top AI model on June 30?$6.84Jul 25, 11:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan in 2025?$5.00Apr 1, 06:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have the top AI model on June 30?$6.40Apr 1, 06:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after May 2025 meeting?$6.00Apr 1, 06:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $130,000 by February 28, 2025?$2.01Apr 1, 06:48 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after March 2025 meeting?$8.04Mar 28, 05:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?$5.00Feb 25, 12:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after March 2025 meeting?$8.00Feb 25, 12:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $130,000 by February 28, 2025?$2.00Feb 25, 11:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $85,000 in December?$1.01Feb 25, 11:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Dolphins win Super Bowl 2025?$7.54Feb 25, 11:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill 'Joker 2' gross most in 2024?$8.00Feb 25, 11:27 UTC
- REDEEMWolverhampton Wanderers win the Premier League?$9.04Feb 25, 11:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$1.00Dec 31, 09:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $85,000 in December?$1.00Dec 31, 09:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Fed cut interest rates 3 times in 2024?$1.03Dec 31, 09:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Pennsylvania be the tipping point state?$0.00Dec 31, 09:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $3.69
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 7, 08:23 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 25, 11:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".