Accomplished-Dissonance
0xb260e618bd5b0351f54cbb6b2370def471af715a
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$12.3K
Total PnL
$-6.5K
Realised
$-924.94
Win rate
18%
22 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will MrBeast hit 512 million subscribers by July 31?
2433 shares @ 90.1¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$2.4K
$234.34
- NO
Will MrBeast's next video get between 32 and 33 million views on day 5?
2017 shares @ 94.9¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$1.9K
$-47.01
- NO
Will MrBeast hit 520 million subscribers by July 31?
1673 shares @ 92.5¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.7K
$123.51
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
1411 shares @ 99.2¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.4K
$9.18
- NO
Will MrBeast hit 515 million subscribers by July 31?
1103 shares @ 97.0¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.1K
$32.18
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 31 million views on day 4?
1042 shares @ 43.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$1.0K
$588.22
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 40 million views on week 1?
540 shares @ 56.3¢·now 85.1¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$459.42
$155.42
- NO
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?
440 shares @ 97.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$439.79
$9.79
- NO
Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?
332 shares @ 82.7¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$331.73
$56.98
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $55 in July?
302 shares @ 99.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$301.81
$1.96
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 32 and 33 million views on day 5?$125.31Jul 29, 21:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 32 and 33 million views on day 5?$701.75Jul 29, 21:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 32 and 33 million views on day 5?$200.50Jul 29, 21:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 32 and 33 million views on day 5?$220.00Jul 29, 20:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 33 and 34 million views on day 5?$10.16Jul 29, 19:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 34 and 35 million views on day 5?$35.51Jul 29, 19:07 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET$19.19Jul 29, 19:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 32 and 33 million views on day 5?$350.17Jul 29, 18:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET$3.01Jul 29, 18:57 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET$34.01Jul 29, 18:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET$30.02Jul 29, 18:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET$8.28Jul 29, 18:53 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET$0.83Jul 29, 18:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET$1.05Jul 29, 18:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET$5.17Jul 29, 18:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET$3.09Jul 29, 18:45 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET$0.37Jul 29, 18:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET$2.07Jul 29, 18:39 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET$300.08Jul 29, 18:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET$1.06Jul 29, 18:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
49/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
18% win rate over 22 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
40 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
22 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $63.85
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 29, 15:50 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 21:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 22 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.