Jam-Packed-Servant
0xb26444ccce8d701cbf9ac268edb0194891fd9b09
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
41
Open notional
$73.64
Total PnL
$-271.76
Realised
$14.20
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 41- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
66 shares @ 15.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$66.23
$56.23
- YES
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
167 shares @ 18.0¢·now 4.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.42
$-22.58
- YES
Will Melania say "Career" during AI talk on Friday?
1667 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
306 shares @ 8.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,500 on January 23?
284 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Luís Marques Mendes win 4th place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
256 shares @ 50.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$0.00
$-130.00
- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
179 shares @ 5.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,200 and $3,300 on January 28?
165 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,600 on January 24?
149 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
143 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 20, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 19, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 18, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.41Jul 17, 18:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$16.24Jul 17, 18:03 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 17, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 16, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 15, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 14, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 13, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 12, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 11, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 10, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 9, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 8, 00:24 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 7, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 6, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 5, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 4, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 3, 00:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
2 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 71/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 2
- Avg trade size
- $9.82
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 3, 00:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 20, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.