Light-Front
0xb26cea29491d1e6d48c69275e290bcc05be10eb0
Wallet digest
Activity score
96/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
32
Open notional
$25.6K
Total PnL
$1.1K
Realised
$627.43
Win rate
58%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 32- YES
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?
6000 shares @ 67.6¢·now 82.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$5.0K
$894.00
- YES
Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31?
7552 shares @ 48.3¢·now 42.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.2K
$-434.69
- NO
Will Russia capture Bilytske by August 31, 2026?
2500 shares @ 77.6¢·now 79.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$2.0K
$35.15
- NO
Will Russia enter Serhiivka by July 31?
1577 shares @ 83.7¢·now 97.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.5K
$211.02
- NO
Will Iran target Ukraine by September 30, 2026?
1575 shares @ 88.9¢·now 91.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$1.4K
$40.27
- YES
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?
1685 shares @ 50.8¢·now 73.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.2K
$373.98
- YES
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
3337 shares @ 30.0¢·now 34.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$1.2K
$152.64
- NO
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by September 30?
1521 shares @ 67.3¢·now 64.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$973.34
$-51.01
- NO
Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by December 31?
2004 shares @ 61.2¢·now 48.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$961.79
$-265.06
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?
1555 shares @ 69.4¢·now 52.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$808.45
$-270.20
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?$2.4KJul 29, 00:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by September 30?$61.99Jul 29, 00:07 UTC
- REWARD$3.39Jul 29, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran target Ukraine by August 31, 2026?$24.86Jul 28, 20:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31?$136.98Jul 28, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by September 30?$22.31Jul 28, 17:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by September 30?$66.00Jul 28, 17:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran target Ukraine by September 30, 2026?$6.23Jul 28, 15:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran target Ukraine by September 30, 2026?$1.50Jul 28, 15:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran target Ukraine by September 30, 2026?$51.92Jul 28, 15:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran target Ukraine by September 30, 2026?$1.3KJul 28, 15:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran target Ukraine by August 31, 2026?$741.60Jul 28, 15:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran target Ukraine by September 30, 2026?$6.14Jul 28, 14:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?$89.68Jul 28, 12:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by September 30?$874.05Jul 28, 12:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026?$1.68Jul 28, 11:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026?$0.20Jul 28, 11:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026?$4.76Jul 28, 11:16 UTC
- REWARD$2.58Jul 28, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Bilytske by August 31, 2026?$58.48Jul 27, 17:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
34/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
58% win rate over 12 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
12 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $289.76
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 26, 21:47 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.