Frank-Cockroach
0xb26ef834edb3cc23db7c9d7ff32f882124115808
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$5.02
Total PnL
$-22.85
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on June 2?
5 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$5.02
$0.02
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 28?
7870 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026$0.00
$-7.87
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on March 30?
125 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- BORUSSIA DORTMUND
Spread: Borussia Dortmund (-1.5)
5 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 25, 2025$0.00
$-2.50
- MAVERICKS
Spread: Mavericks (-7.5)
3 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.50
- LAKERS
Warriors vs. Lakers
2 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 22, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- RAPTORS
Spread: Celtics (-2.5)
2 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- RAPTORS
Spread: Raptors (-10.5)
2 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 12, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- THUNDER
Spread: Thunder (-12.5)
2 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on June 2?$5.00Jun 1, 02:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 37°C or higher on May 29?$104.93Jun 1, 02:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 37°C or higher on May 29?$100.23May 28, 02:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C or higher on May 26?$103.54May 28, 02:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C or higher on May 26?$100.17May 25, 12:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on May 6?$1.16May 25, 12:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on May 6?$1.01May 5, 06:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on April 23?$1.01May 5, 06:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on April 23?$1.00Apr 22, 07:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on March 30?$1.00Mar 30, 11:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 28?$7.87Mar 28, 08:23 UTC
- REDEEMNo change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$1.01Mar 28, 07:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$1.00Jan 3, 06:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Thunder (-11.5)$1.00Dec 7, 12:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Nuggets (-10.5)$1.00Dec 7, 12:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Celtics (-2.5)$1.00Dec 7, 12:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?$1.00Dec 7, 12:30 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Rockets (-11.5)$1.89Dec 7, 12:27 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Knicks (-9.5)$1.92Dec 7, 12:27 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Nuggets (-8.5)$1.96Dec 7, 12:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
31 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 73/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $7.98
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 1, 01:26 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 1, 02:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.