Leading-Lag
0xb275212b8e887904077e018bbcd40d53a19ec66a
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
27
Open notional
$9.12
Total PnL
$-17.87
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- YES
Israel strike on Iranian nuclear facility before July?
5 shares @ 20.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$5.00
$4.00
- YES
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 French Open?
2 shares @ 51.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2025$1.96
$0.96
- YES
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PNL?
1 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.10
$0.10
- NO
Evidence Trump went to Epstein's Island made public in June?
1 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$1.06
$0.06
- YES
Will "From the World of John Wick: Ballerina" Rotten Tomatoes score be less than 50?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet 245–259 times May 30–June 6?
97 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?
71 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $150K in June?
67 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Israel raid Greta Thunberg's ship by Friday?
63 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down on June 5?
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?$0.64Jun 23, 22:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?$0.86Jun 23, 22:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?$0.89Jun 23, 22:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYEvidence Trump went to Epstein's Island made public in June?$1.00Jun 6, 07:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump say "Million / Billion / Trillion" 10+ times during Merz events on June 5?$1.75Jun 6, 00:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PNL?$1.00Jun 5, 13:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10 launch by June 30?$1.00Jun 5, 13:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Porto win Group A at the FIFA Club World Cup?$1.00Jun 5, 13:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "From the World of John Wick: Ballerina" Rotten Tomatoes score be less than 50?$1.00Jun 5, 13:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PSG win the FIFA Club World Cup?$1.00Jun 5, 13:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be less than $2400 on June 6?$1.00Jun 5, 13:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?$1.00Jun 5, 13:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?$1.00Jun 5, 13:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?$1.00Jun 5, 13:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?$1.00Jun 5, 13:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Thunder beat the Pacers 4-0?$1.00Jun 5, 13:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?$1.00Jun 5, 13:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?$1.00Jun 5, 13:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on June 5?$1.00Jun 5, 13:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump say "Million / Billion / Trillion" 10+ times during Merz events on June 5?$1.00Jun 5, 13:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $0.98
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 5, 13:52 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 23, 22:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".