Adventurous-Capability
0xb27aaae11757b5bf29fe3066388bc50797be882b
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$4.87
Total PnL
$-85.13
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
19 shares @ 31.0¢·now 25.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$4.87
$-1.13
- NO
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?
31 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell in 2025?
29 shares @ 17.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Trump say "BRICS" this week?
21 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 10, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in July?
21 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2025$0.00
$-8.00
- YES
Will JD Vance say "Big Beautiful Bill" during his remarks to US troops in UK on August 13?
20 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 13, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will anyone say "Tariff" during the Q3 2025 Apple earnings call?
20 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk say "Trump" during the August 6 AMA?
17 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 6, 2025$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Maxwell" this week?
17 shares @ 60.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 3, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2025?
13 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump visit China in 2025?$46.14Jan 6, 10:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$6.00Aug 25, 06:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Ceasefire" 3+ times during Zelensky events on August 18?$6.90Aug 19, 01:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Ceasefire" 3+ times during Zelensky events on August 18?$4.00Aug 18, 10:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump pardon Diddy in 2025?$3.14Aug 18, 10:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill JD Vance say "Big Beautiful Bill" during his remarks to US troops in UK on August 13?$5.00Aug 13, 10:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bernie Sanders say "Big Beautiful Bill" during his West Virginia speech on August 8?$5.45Aug 9, 22:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bernie Sanders say "Big Beautiful Bill" during his West Virginia speech on August 8?$3.00Aug 7, 11:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bernie Sanders say "Tariff" during his West Virginia speech on August 8?$5.00Aug 7, 11:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump agree to a tariff agreement with India in August?$3.50Aug 6, 20:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk say "Crypto/Bitcoin/Doge" during the August 6 AMA?$4.00Aug 6, 06:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk say "Trump" during the August 6 AMA?$6.00Aug 6, 06:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jair Bolsonaro be arrested in Brazil by August 31?$8.09Aug 5, 21:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to a tariff agreement with India in August?$6.00Aug 3, 11:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump pardon Diddy in 2025?$5.00Aug 2, 02:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell in 2025?$5.00Aug 2, 02:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "BRICS" this week?$10.00Aug 2, 01:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Brazil" this week?$9.23Aug 2, 01:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $3200 July 28–August 3?$2.00Aug 1, 23:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be between $3600 and $3700 on August 4?$2.89Aug 1, 23:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $6.58
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 19, 13:07 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 6, 10:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".