Giant-Shoelace
0xb27bdc9f2c3daa00021ee65428d807df6df709f4
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
97
Open notional
$9.89
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$37.92
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 97- YES
Trump out as President before 2027?
103 shares @ 16.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.79
$-6.70
- YES
Will Trump and Putin meet next in a Gulf country?
51 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.10
$-1.90
- YES
Will Trump and Putin not meet?
3307 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- CTBC FLYING OYSTER
LoL: KT Rolster vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 1 Winner
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-12-09?
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 18?
331 shares @ 26.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 18, 2025$0.00
$-88.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?
296 shares @ 9.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$0.00
$-29.00
- NO
Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 22?
277 shares @ 22.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 22, 2025$0.00
$-62.00
- NO
Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 14?
211 shares @ 24.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 14, 2025$0.00
$-51.82
- NO
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
206 shares @ 9.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-19.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President before 2027?$16.49Feb 4, 00:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia strike on Kyiv municipality by January 10, 2026?$5.50Jan 5, 18:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia strike on Kyiv municipality by January 10, 2026?$2.90Jan 5, 18:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$50.00Jan 5, 18:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by January 9?$35.00Jan 5, 18:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYMaduro mugshot released by January 9?$10.00Jan 5, 18:54 UTC
- REDEEMUkraine hits Moscow by December 31?$17.24Jan 3, 11:18 UTC
- TRADESELLU.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by January 9, 2026?$111.78Jan 3, 11:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by January 9, 2026?$50.00Dec 27, 16:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?$76.75Dec 17, 19:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?$10.00Dec 12, 11:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?$15.00Dec 12, 11:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?$15.00Dec 12, 11:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?$15.00Dec 12, 11:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?$15.00Dec 12, 11:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?$56.62Dec 11, 20:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?$4.72Dec 11, 18:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?$2.90Dec 9, 22:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-12-09?$5.00Dec 9, 21:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Barcelona vs. Eintracht Frankfurt end in a draw?$4.44Dec 9, 21:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $16.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 27, 18:17 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 4, 00:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".