Costly-Niche
0xb27d627e0554b3141de2bc71dd0a6753dd8490ed
Wallet digest
Activity score
35/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-322.23
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the federal minimum wage be $9.50 per hour or higher by April 1?
1179 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2021$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump's Twitter account be active on March 1, 2021?
894 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2021$0.00
$-30.00
- ELON MUSK
Who will the world's richest person be on February 27, 2021?
497 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2021$0.00
$0.00
- YES
Will ETH be above $2000 on March 1st, 2021?
197 shares @ 40.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2021$0.00
$-80.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin ($BTC) be above $55k on February 24, 2021?
144 shares @ 34.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2021$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Apple, Amazon, or Twitter announce a Bitcoin purchase before April 1, 2021?
113 shares @ 35.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2021$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will Hashmasks be the highest volume NFT category by 7-day volume on February 25, 2021?
111 shares @ 31.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2021$0.00
$-35.00
- NO
Will the United States report a record high 7-day COVID-19 case average before January 1, 2022?
66 shares @ 71.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 8, 2022$0.00
$-47.23
Recent activity
- REDEEMDonald Trump federally charged by February 20th?$0.00Feb 23, 16:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill $BTC break $50k before April 1st, 2021?$137.59Feb 17, 03:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tesla announce a Bitcoin purchase before March 1, 2021?$245.64Feb 10, 21:55 UTC
- REDEEMSuperbowl 55: Kansas City Chiefs vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers$73.70Feb 8, 03:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 8, 03:22 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 23, 16:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".