Wooden-Placode
0xb28610e7638619232fc773e6f126f560ab95aac7
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
104
Open notional
$49.53
Total PnL
$-2.1K
Realised
$-37.26
Win rate
25%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 104- NO
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on July 29?
200 shares @ 28.0¢·now 24.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$48.00
$-8.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 30°C on July 29?
278 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.5¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$1.53
$0.44
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 30°C or higher on July 23?
1300 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$0.00
$-5.16
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on June 22?
1000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on June 24?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C or below on June 24?
1000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on July 25?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on May 22?
966 shares @ 8.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-80.48
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 43°C on June 25?
600 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-5.85
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on July 26?
550 shares @ 9.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 26, 2026$0.00
$-53.55
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on July 29?$12.24Jul 29, 05:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on July 29?$28.00Jul 29, 05:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 30°C on July 29?$0.86Jul 29, 05:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 30°C on July 29?$0.18Jul 29, 05:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on July 29?$16.32Jul 29, 05:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 30°C on July 29?$0.06Jul 29, 05:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on July 27?$48.23Jul 27, 15:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on July 28?$41.43Jul 27, 15:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 31°C on July 27?$9.12Jul 27, 13:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 34°C on July 27?$0.53Jul 27, 10:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 34°C on July 27?$0.17Jul 27, 09:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 34°C on July 27?$0.18Jul 27, 09:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 30°C on July 27?$10.63Jul 27, 09:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 34°C on July 27?$4.71Jul 27, 08:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 34°C on July 27?$0.03Jul 27, 08:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 34°C on July 27?$0.24Jul 27, 08:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 34°C on July 27?$0.29Jul 27, 08:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 31°C on July 27?$1.68Jul 27, 07:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 30°C on July 27?$0.08Jul 27, 07:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 30°C on July 27?$0.35Jul 27, 07:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
14/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
25% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 70/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $4.92
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 26, 12:06 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 05:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.