Puzzled-Cholesterol
0xb28b621fd0ca0774dc3148d8dd45e6742cc13d9b
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-3.8K
Realised
$71.91
Win rate
64%
45 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
8000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-8.00
- YES
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
4150 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-12.45
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?
2500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026?
1900 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-3.71
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET
1857 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$0.00
$-18.57
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET
486 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$0.00
$-4.86
- YES
Will Trump say "Job" 10+ times during executive order signing today?
410 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET$1.02Jul 28, 20:37 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET$1.47Jul 28, 12:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET$1.05Jul 28, 12:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET$1.01Jul 28, 04:18 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET$1.01Jul 28, 04:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET$1.04Jul 28, 04:14 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET$1.11Jul 28, 02:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET$1.01Jul 28, 02:52 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET$1.03Jul 28, 02:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET$1.00Jul 28, 02:49 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET$1.11Jul 27, 09:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET$1.01Jul 27, 09:22 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET$0.95Jul 27, 09:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET$1.01Jul 27, 09:17 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET$2.17Jul 27, 09:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET$2.03Jul 27, 09:14 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET$1.22Jul 27, 05:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET$1.01Jul 27, 05:18 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET$1.19Jul 27, 04:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET$1.01Jul 27, 04:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
81/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
64% win rate over 45 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
41 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 24/100.
45 closed markets, 64% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $1.89
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 19, 09:04 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 20:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 45 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.