Delectable-Octave
0xb28d067f78fd4e0a25bb09529f22bf8dabb291fa
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$3.86
Total PnL
$-362.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
5 shares @ 75.0¢·now 80.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$3.86
$0.24
- DOWN
Hyperliquid Up or Down on February 25?
1550 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026$0.00
$-356.50
- SPURS
Knicks vs. Spurs
3 shares @ 67.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$0.00
$-2.12
- YES
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-10?
3 shares @ 75.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-2.30
- LOS ANGELES DODGERS
Miami Marlins vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
2 shares @ 72.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.32
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYKnicks vs. Spurs$2.14Jun 5, 04:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-05-19?$2.63Jun 5, 04:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-05-19?$2.11May 18, 15:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Arsenal FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?$1.47May 18, 15:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the DHS shutdown end between April 1-4, 2026?$4.35May 18, 15:31 UTC
- REDEEMPistons vs. 76ers$5.36May 18, 15:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYMiami Marlins vs. Los Angeles Dodgers$1.33Apr 29, 02:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?$1.20Apr 25, 11:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-10?$2.32Apr 10, 09:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYPistons vs. 76ers$3.20Apr 4, 16:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the DHS shutdown end between April 1-4, 2026?$3.96Apr 2, 09:07 UTC
- REWARD$1.40Mar 30, 00:02 UTC
- REWARD$0.15Mar 30, 00:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?$811.87Mar 29, 07:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?$181.33Mar 29, 07:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?$993.20Mar 29, 05:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYHyperliquid Up or Down on February 25?$356.50Feb 25, 06:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Solana be above $80 on February 8?$632.70Feb 6, 15:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $80 on February 8?$784.70Feb 6, 14:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$3.62Feb 2, 19:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $374.26
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 2, 19:00 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 5, 04:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.