Robust-Glove
0xb2910d51ad2d96e8c910adbe558b2ba950b44937
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
20
Open notional
$70.70
Total PnL
$-22.63
Realised
$-25.52
Win rate
47%
15 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 9?
36 shares @ 71.0¢·now 76.5¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$27.55
$1.98
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on July 9?
12 shares @ 87.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$10.86
$0.42
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C on July 9?
9 shares @ 84.7¢·now 84.8¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$7.64
$0.00
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 9?
13 shares @ 62.1¢·now 57.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$7.58
$-0.67
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on July 9?
4 shares @ 74.0¢·now 73.5¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$2.83
$-0.02
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 9?
3 shares @ 77.0¢·now 78.3¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$2.55
$0.04
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on July 9?
2 shares @ 58.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$1.71
$0.70
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on July 9?
4 shares @ 41.0¢·now 41.5¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$1.51
$0.02
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 37°C on July 9?
2 shares @ 70.0¢·now 70.5¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$1.18
$0.01
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on July 9?
2 shares @ 67.0¢·now 67.5¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$1.09
$0.01
Recent activity
- MERGEWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on July 9?$7.11Jul 8, 19:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on July 9?$4.98Jul 8, 19:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on July 9?$2.42Jul 8, 19:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on July 9?$0.06Jul 8, 19:44 UTC
- MERGEWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on July 9?$6.22Jul 8, 19:33 UTC
- MERGEWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on July 9?$51.10Jul 8, 19:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on July 9?$5.09Jul 8, 19:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on July 9?$1.28Jul 8, 19:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on July 9?$23.10Jul 8, 19:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on July 9?$30.66Jul 8, 19:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 30°C on July 9?$0.52Jul 8, 19:27 UTC
- MERGEWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 20°C on July 10?$3.20Jul 8, 19:23 UTC
- MERGEWill the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on July 10?$18.06Jul 8, 19:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 37°C on July 9?$1.17Jul 8, 19:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 20°C on July 10?$1.48Jul 8, 19:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 20°C on July 10?$1.87Jul 8, 19:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on July 10?$13.18Jul 8, 19:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on July 10?$5.78Jul 8, 19:19 UTC
- MERGEWill the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on July 9?$9.16Jul 8, 19:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on July 9?$2.85Jul 8, 19:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
37/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
47% win rate over 15 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
15 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $8.41
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 8, 18:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 8, 19:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 15 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.