Healthy-Naturalisation
0xb291e40be8222071374ad0b6f63b6b9ad10510f4
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-104.36
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?
3333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET
449 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will voter turnout be 71–74% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?
355 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 9°C on April 12?
314 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-4.75
- YES
Will Tyrrell Hatton win the 2026 Masters tournament?
286 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET
186 shares @ 8.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 5, 2026$0.00
$-14.97
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET
167 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
US forces enter Iran by March 7?
141 shares @ 7.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Cameron Young win the 2026 Masters tournament?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET
85 shares @ 11.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-9.97
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?$18.89Apr 12, 22:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cameron Young win the 2026 Masters tournament?$1.00Apr 12, 22:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?$0.43Apr 12, 22:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?$2.00Apr 12, 21:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?$14.00Apr 12, 21:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Justin Rose win the 2026 Masters tournament?$2.00Apr 12, 21:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tyrrell Hatton win the 2026 Masters tournament?$2.00Apr 12, 21:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$137.63Apr 12, 21:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill voter turnout be 71–74% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?$5.00Apr 12, 13:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 13 - April 19?$5.00Apr 12, 13:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 9°C on April 12?$5.00Apr 11, 19:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?$10.00Apr 10, 16:33 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET$7.17Apr 10, 16:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$100.00Apr 10, 16:25 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET$10.70Mar 6, 09:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET$5.00Mar 6, 09:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 7?$10.00Mar 5, 14:29 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET$0.00Mar 5, 14:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET$5.00Mar 5, 14:20 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET$8.79Mar 5, 14:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $11.39
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 18, 11:50 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 12, 22:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".