Austere-Desire
0xb297a4ecfb132a0bf2174c5665e023b8d8c52680
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$22.08
Total PnL
$-1.08
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?
3 shares @ 89.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$2.58
$0.28
- YES
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?
2 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$2.21
$0.22
- NO
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
2 shares @ 92.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.69
$0.12
- NO
Will xAI have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?
2 shares @ 98.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.55
$0.02
- NO
Will Z.ai have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?
2 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.54
$0.00
- NO
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 24, 2026?
2 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.51
$0.02
- NO
Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?
1 shares @ 98.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.46
$0.03
- NO
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
1 shares @ 98.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.44
$0.02
- NO
Will DeepSeek have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?
1 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.44
$0.01
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
1 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.41
$0.14
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.04Apr 24, 00:13 UTC
- MERGEWill the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1.5KApr 23, 06:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GPT-5.5 be released on April 24, 2026?$1.50Apr 23, 06:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?$2.00Apr 23, 06:31 UTC
- YIELD$0.12Apr 23, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Apr 22, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Apr 21, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Apr 20, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.13Apr 19, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.10Apr 18, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.12Apr 17, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.13Apr 16, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.15Apr 15, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.12Apr 14, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.14Apr 13, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Apr 12, 00:12 UTC
- REWARD$1.36Apr 12, 00:00 UTC
- SPLITWill the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1.5KApr 11, 13:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$1.42Apr 11, 13:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$1.57Apr 11, 13:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $1.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 23, 03:02 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 24, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.