Normal-Kitsch
0xb29b6b3db3923f457860ee544fb3cf3d65564840
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
2
Open notional
$6.59
Total PnL
$0.06
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYXi Jinping out before October?$3.26Sep 16, 06:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYPlasma >$800M market cap (FDV) one day after launch?$3.27Aug 30, 10:38 UTC
- REDEEMJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by July 31?$3.28Aug 30, 10:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by July 31?$3.25Jul 29, 09:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ritchie Torres win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?$2.31Jun 5, 07:52 UTC
- REDEEMX allowed to operate in China before May?$6.21Jun 5, 07:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYX allowed to operate in China before May?$6.20Apr 25, 05:50 UTC
- REDEEMDogecoin above $0.27 on February 21?$1.34Mar 6, 16:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ritchie Torres win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?$2.31Mar 6, 16:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYDogecoin above $0.27 on February 21?$1.33Feb 21, 12:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Luigi Mangione fire his lawyer before 2025?$1.28Feb 21, 12:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill 'Inside Out 2' gross most in 2024?$5.12Feb 21, 12:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luigi Mangione fire his lawyer before 2025?$1.27Dec 29, 12:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'Inside Out 2' gross most in 2024?$5.11Dec 29, 11:58 UTC
- REDEEMWalz and Vance debate on Sept 18?$4.13Dec 29, 11:55 UTC
- TRADESELL2024 August hottest on record?$1.92Sep 8, 16:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWalz and Vance debate on Sept 18?$4.12Sep 8, 16:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill $BTC reach 80k before October?$6.65Sep 8, 16:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a candidate from another party win Minnesota Presidential Election?$8.83Sep 8, 16:34 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 August hottest on record?$1.93Sep 8, 16:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 60/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $8.33
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 26, 16:12 UTC
- Last active
- Sep 16, 06:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.