Decisive-Fate
0xb2a03e7d452122b642efa47ce6ee4e6da6f3a572
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$113.59
Total PnL
$0.69
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?
20 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$20.06
$0.06
- NO
Will Z.ai have the top AI model on December 31?
20 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$20.02
$0.02
- NO
Will Moonshot have the top AI model on December 31?
20 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$20.02
$0.02
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025?
19 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$18.96
$0.06
- NO
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?
5 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$5.03
$0.03
- NO
Will US GDP growth in 2025 be between 0.5% and 1.0%?
4 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2026$4.02
$0.02
- NO
Will US GDP growth in 2025 be less than 0.5%?
4 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2026$4.01
$0.01
- YES
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?
3 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$3.26
$0.26
- NO
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
3 shares @ 87.0¢·now 93.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.21
$0.21
- NO
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?
3 shares @ 98.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$3.05
$0.05
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025?$18.90Nov 29, 04:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?$20.00Nov 29, 04:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Z.ai have the top AI model on December 31?$20.00Nov 29, 04:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Moonshot have the top AI model on December 31?$20.00Nov 29, 04:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be at least 1750 measles cases in the U.S. in 2025?$3.02Nov 29, 04:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 21?$3.23Nov 29, 04:10 UTC
- REDEEMHouse passes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?$4.08Nov 29, 04:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Dolby Laboratories (DLB) beat quarterly earnings?$7.37Nov 29, 04:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US GDP growth in 2025 be between 0.5% and 1.0%?$4.00Nov 17, 09:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US GDP growth in 2025 be less than 0.5%?$4.00Nov 17, 09:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYXi Jinping out before 2027?$3.00Nov 17, 09:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 21?$3.00Nov 17, 09:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 1750 measles cases in the U.S. in 2025?$3.00Nov 17, 09:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jason Koon win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?$3.00Nov 17, 09:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?$3.00Nov 17, 09:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?$5.00Nov 17, 09:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dolby Laboratories (DLB) beat quarterly earnings?$4.00Nov 17, 09:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dolby Laboratories (DLB) beat quarterly earnings?$3.00Nov 17, 09:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$3.00Nov 17, 09:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?$3.00Nov 17, 09:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 19
- Avg trade size
- $6.84
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 17, 09:17 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 29, 04:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".