Striking-Mass
0xb2a128c1bc59f90b726c39e2296e5a98aa94d97d
Wallet digest
Activity score
45/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
13
Open notional
$27.99
Total PnL
$-252.34
Realised
$-108.68
Win rate
0%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET
28 shares @ 36.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 20, 2026$27.78
$17.78
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
6 shares @ 17.0¢·now 3.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.21
$-0.79
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 20, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
192 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET
150 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET
123 shares @ 66.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$0.00
$-81.10
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET
77 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 20, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET
58 shares @ 29.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$0.00
$-17.40
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET
23 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET
21 shares @ 46.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET$10.45Aug 20, 10:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET$1.06Aug 20, 10:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET$10.61Aug 20, 10:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET$5.35Aug 20, 10:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$5.19May 9, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET$65.78May 6, 10:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET$40.14May 6, 10:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET$10.42May 6, 10:33 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET$60.34May 6, 10:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET$10.38May 6, 10:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET$20.72May 6, 10:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET$10.38May 5, 15:34 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET$109.92May 5, 15:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET$110.08May 5, 15:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET$10.40May 5, 15:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET$1.07May 5, 15:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET$1.07May 5, 15:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET$10.25May 5, 15:08 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$13.79Apr 26, 22:06 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET$178.72Apr 26, 22:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
29/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 12 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 69/100.
12 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $51.97
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 15, 12:45 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 20, 10:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.