0xb2a67fa7995bed8143027b1c7fec953d803ca888
0xb2a67fa7995bed8143027b1c7fec953d803ca888
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.0K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- CHENNAI
Chennai Super Kings vs. Kolkata Knight Riders
1000 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2025$0.00
$-440.00
- YES
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-04-12?
1000 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2025$0.00
$-460.00
- NO
Team from West wins March Madness?
770 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2025$0.00
$-369.60
- COWAN
Nora Cornolle vs. Hailey Cowan
660 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2025$0.00
$-244.20
- YES
Team from Midwest wins March Madness?
320 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2025$0.00
$-153.60
- YES
Will Luisa González win the 2025 Ecuadorian Presidential Election?
255 shares @ 66.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2025$0.00
$-168.30
- NO
Will Trump say "Job" 15+ times during NRCC Dinner on April 8?
155 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2025$0.00
$-91.45
- YES
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 57-58°F on March 18?
120 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2025$0.00
$-31.20
- YES
Will Trump issue an executive order on March 22?
65 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2025$0.00
$-3.25
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down on March 25?
30 shares @ 15.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2025$0.00
$-4.56
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Chelsea win on 2025-04-26?$40.00Apr 28, 02:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chelsea win on 2025-04-26?$24.80Apr 25, 07:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon tweet 150–174 times April 18–25?$25.00Apr 25, 02:15 UTC
- TRADEBUY10-year Treasury yield >4.4% Friday?$2.55Apr 23, 08:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 150–174 times April 18–25?$3.60Apr 23, 07:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 150–174 times April 18–25?$3.60Apr 23, 07:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 150–174 times April 18–25?$3.60Apr 23, 07:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 150–174 times April 18–25?$3.60Apr 23, 07:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 150–174 times April 18–25?$3.60Apr 23, 07:41 UTC
- TRADESELLSumudaerji vs. Mitch Raposo$2.15Apr 12, 12:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYSumudaerji vs. Mitch Raposo$2.15Apr 12, 10:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Nuclear" during Bukele visit on April 14?$15.75Apr 12, 09:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luisa González win the 2025 Ecuadorian Presidential Election? $168.30Apr 12, 08:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYNora Cornolle vs. Hailey Cowan$244.20Apr 11, 13:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Manchester City win on 2025-04-12?$531.20Apr 11, 13:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City win on 2025-04-12?$61.75Apr 11, 11:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City win on 2025-04-12?$6.50Apr 11, 11:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City win on 2025-04-12?$3.25Apr 11, 11:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City win on 2025-04-12?$3.25Apr 11, 11:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City win on 2025-04-12?$269.75Apr 11, 11:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 56/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $88.58
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 9, 08:25 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 28, 02:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.