Soulful-Item
0xb2b722578ab8b1e1d62b15686ec4443802adedd7
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$13.48
Total PnL
$-121.52
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Netanyahu out by July 31?
14 shares @ 99.6¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$13.48
$-0.02
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on January 16?
1050 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-2.10
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 8?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,800 on November 12?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 12, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 21?
667 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will "Mercy" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 14m?
253 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on February 4?
250 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on December 26?
200 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 26, 2025$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will the US next strike Iran on February 4, 2026 (ET)?
143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?
100 shares @ 71.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-71.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by July 31?$13.50Jul 18, 10:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill annual inflation be 3.7% in May?$82.00Jun 10, 14:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation be 3.7% in May?$81.92Jun 8, 12:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 8?$2.10Jun 8, 12:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?$84.08Jun 3, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?$84.00Jun 1, 13:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 24?$84.17May 24, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 24?$84.01May 24, 10:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 22?$45.05May 22, 19:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$39.04May 21, 17:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$39.00May 21, 11:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 21?$2.14May 21, 11:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 22?$45.00May 21, 11:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 11?$86.09May 11, 19:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 11?$86.01May 10, 11:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$86.09May 10, 11:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$86.00May 7, 11:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?$1.00May 7, 11:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 4?$43.04May 7, 11:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 4?$43.00May 4, 11:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $64.41
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 13, 10:56 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 18, 10:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.