Austere-Kiwi
0xb2bfcf370367f182a16f43ac2e7f76a5a53aa094
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$97.10
Total PnL
$-8.78
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 27?
97 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$97.10
$0.10
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on April 2?
1114 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 2, 2026$0.00
$-2.23
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 19°F or below on February 1?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on February 4?
850 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-2.55
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on January 3?
550 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.10
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 27?$97.01May 27, 12:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?$97.10May 27, 12:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?$97.00May 22, 11:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 17?$97.10May 22, 11:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 17?$97.01May 17, 07:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 12?$97.10May 17, 07:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 12?$97.01May 12, 08:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be 74°F or higher on May 7?$96.29May 12, 08:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be 74°F or higher on May 7?$96.01May 7, 06:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$96.10May 7, 06:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$96.00May 2, 06:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on April 26?$96.09May 2, 06:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on April 26?$96.00Apr 26, 02:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 21?$96.18Apr 26, 02:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 21?$96.00Apr 21, 06:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 17?$96.09Apr 21, 06:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 17?$96.00Apr 17, 10:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on April 12?$96.09Apr 17, 09:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on April 12?$96.00Apr 12, 12:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on April 9?$96.09Apr 12, 12:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $86.41
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 1, 03:54 UTC
- Last active
- May 27, 12:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".