Trusting-Rocker
0xb2c0b745f2f4e8089a1d339333bada591123c100
Wallet digest
Activity score
76/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
73
Open notional
$2.86
Total PnL
$-2.8K
Realised
$94.80
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 73- NO
Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?
5 shares @ 33.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$2.40
$0.80
- NO
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?
4 shares @ 37.0¢·now 11.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.46
$-1.04
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?
23157 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-312.96
- YES
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from January 12 to January 14, 2026?
16532 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-16.53
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from January 12 to January 14, 2026?
13559 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-166.95
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?
5950 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$0.00
$-100.37
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?
5320 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-21.28
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?
2090 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-20.90
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?
1638 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-295.53
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?
1584 shares @ 28.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-447.17
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 27 to July 29, 2026?$6.75Jul 29, 02:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 27 to July 29, 2026?$163.55Jul 29, 02:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?$170.09Jul 29, 02:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?$207.42Jul 28, 08:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?$208.21Jul 20, 14:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?$34.93Jul 20, 07:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?$34.76Jul 20, 07:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?$163.25Jul 20, 07:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?$145.74Jul 20, 07:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?$17.63Jul 20, 07:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?$194.09Jul 19, 10:03 UTC
- REDEEMMamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?$1.94Jul 1, 06:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?$0.79Jun 19, 06:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?$0.39Jun 19, 06:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?$1.30Jun 19, 06:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?$1.30Jun 19, 06:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?$1.30Jun 19, 06:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?$1.30Jun 19, 06:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?$1.30Jun 19, 06:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?$1.30Jun 19, 06:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
12/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 73/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $31.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 19, 00:28 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 02:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.